Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
45.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
6º
10º
8º
70
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TEL
0 - 1
GAG
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GAG
1 - 3
SAM
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 0
GAG
36%
27%
38%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 1
GAG
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GAG
1 - 1
DBA
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Torpedo Kutaisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
FTK
2 - 1
SAB
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FTK
2 - 0
KOL
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
DBA
1 - 1
FTK
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FTK
1 - 5
GOR
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
DTB
1 - 2
FTK
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |