Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
48.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
10º
7º
60
3º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
DTB
0 - 1
GAG
83%
12%
5%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GAG
4 - 1
TEL
33%
28%
40%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 2
GAG
66%
22%
13%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
GAG
1 - 0
SHU
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 1
GAG
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Torpedo Kutaisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 1
FTK
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FTK
2 - 0
SAM
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GOR
0 - 1
FTK
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
FTK
5 - 0
SAB
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
FTK
0 - 3
DBA
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |