Gagra vs FC Telavi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
6º
10º
8º
34
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 0
GAG
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
GAG
2 - 1
SAM
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
GAG
2 - 0
KOL
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DBA
0 - 1
GAG
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GAG
0 - 1
GOR
20%
26%
54%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FC Telavi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
TEL
1 - 1
KOL
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DBA
1 - 1
TEL
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
TEL
0 - 1
GOR
23%
28%
49%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
DTB
0 - 0
TEL
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
TEL
0 - 3
SAB
22%
26%
52%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |