Gagra vs Dila Gori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
59.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
10º
7º
60
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SAB
5 - 0
GAG
77%
16%
7%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GAG
0 - 2
DBA
12%
22%
66%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FTK
4 - 1
GAG
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GAG
1 - 6
DTB
17%
24%
59%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GAG
0 - 0
SAM
20%
25%
56%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Dila Gori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
GAR
1 - 2
GOR
29%
24%
47%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 3
SAM
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
GOR
0 - 3
DTB
45%
26%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
GOR
5 - 1
SHU
75%
18%
8%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SAB
1 - 2
GOR
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |