Gaflenz vs Ortmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SPR
0 - 2
GAF
26%
23%
51%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
GAF
0 - 1
ARD
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
KOT
4 - 0
GAF
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ROH
1 - 3
GAF
25%
21%
54%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
WAI
0 - 0
GAF
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
SCO
3 - 1
WAI
27%
20%
53%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
LAN
3 - 1
SCO
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
SCO
2 - 4
SCH
28%
21%
51%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SCR
2 - 1
SCO
75%
15%
11%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
SCW
3 - 5
SCO
72%
15%
13%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |