Gafetense vs Sertanense analysis

Gafetense Sertanense
16 ELO 45
-4.2% Tilt -11.4%
25469º General ELO ranking 6570º
563º Country ELO ranking 141º
ELO win probability
10.5%
Gafetense
16.3%
Draw
73.2%
Sertanense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
Gafetense
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
73.2%
Win probability
Sertanense
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Gafetense
Sertanense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gafetense
Gafetense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2017
GDA
Ginásio de Alcobaça
3 - 0
Gafetense
GAF
57%
21%
23%
18 19 1 0
15 Apr. 2017
GAF
Gafetense
3 - 4
Ideal
IDE
12%
17%
71%
19 43 24 -1
09 Apr. 2017
GAF
Gafetense
0 - 1
Angrense
ANG
15%
19%
66%
19 36 17 0
02 Apr. 2017
BEN
Benfica Castelo Branco
2 - 1
Gafetense
GAF
86%
10%
4%
19 50 31 0
26 Mar. 2017
UDL
União de Leiria
2 - 0
Gafetense
GAF
83%
12%
4%
19 54 35 0

Matches

Sertanense
Sertanense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2017
SER
Sertanense
0 - 1
Angrense
ANG
59%
23%
17%
46 36 10 0
15 Apr. 2017
BEN
Benfica Castelo Branco
1 - 1
Sertanense
SER
64%
20%
16%
46 52 6 0
09 Apr. 2017
SER
Sertanense
0 - 1
União de Leiria
UDL
24%
25%
51%
46 54 8 0
02 Apr. 2017
LUS
Lusitania FC
2 - 2
Sertanense
SER
27%
26%
47%
46 37 9 0
26 Mar. 2017
SER
Sertanense
1 - 1
Ideal
IDE
45%
26%
29%
46 45 1 0