Gafetense vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
73.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gafetense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GDA
3 - 0
GAF
57%
21%
23%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
GAF
3 - 4
IDE
12%
17%
71%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
GAF
0 - 1
ANG
15%
19%
66%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 1
GAF
86%
10%
4%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
UDL
2 - 0
GAF
83%
12%
4%
|
19 | 54 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SER
0 - 1
ANG
59%
23%
17%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 1
SER
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SER
0 - 1
UDL
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 2
SER
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
IDE
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |