Gafanha vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
56.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
RDA
3 - 3
GAF
33%
28%
39%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
GAF
5 - 2
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
GAF
0 - 2
PED
55%
25%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
GAF
84%
13%
3%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
LUS
3 - 3
GAF
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
UNM
2 - 1
PED
80%
14%
6%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
CES
0 - 1
UNM
18%
25%
57%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
COI
1 - 3
UNM
12%
20%
68%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
UNM
0 - 2
LUS
74%
17%
8%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
UNM
2 - 0
USA
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 18 | 39 | 0 |