Gafanha vs Oliveira Frades analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
29.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 1
GAF
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
GAF
0 - 0
LUS
30%
27%
43%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CES
2 - 2
GAF
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
GAF
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
GAF
2 - 0
BUS
70%
18%
13%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Oliveira Frades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
OFR
1 - 0
LUS
30%
24%
46%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
OFR
77%
16%
8%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
OFR
1 - 2
MOR
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
OFR
0 - 3
ANA
27%
25%
49%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 0
OFR
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |