Gafanha vs Marítimo III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 3
GAF
31%
24%
44%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ANA
1 - 0
GAF
46%
26%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 0
EST
41%
27%
33%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
GOU
0 - 3
GAF
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
GAF
0 - 0
CAM
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 3
ANA
39%
26%
36%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
EST
3 - 1
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
GOU
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAM
2 - 0
MAR
36%
25%
40%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
SAN
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |