Gafanha vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
43.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CES
2 - 2
GAF
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
GAF
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
GAF
2 - 0
BUS
70%
18%
13%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 1
MOR
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
EST
3 - 0
GAF
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 1
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 2
MOR
65%
19%
16%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ANA
3 - 0
LUS
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 0
LUS
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 2
MAR
6%
14%
81%
|
43 | 80 | 37 | 0 |