Gafanha vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
56.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
OFR
4 - 2
GAF
30%
23%
47%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 3
LUS
37%
27%
36%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 0
GAF
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 0
GAF
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
GAF
0 - 0
CES
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
FAF
6 - 0
TOR
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 4
FAF
16%
24%
61%
|
53 | 24 | 29 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FAF
1 - 0
VIZ
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
FAF
6 - 1
MON
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
VIZ
1 - 1
FAF
59%
24%
18%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |