Gafanha U15 vs União de Leiria U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
24.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
4º
4º
32
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gafanha U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
GFN
2 - 1
LEM
86%
10%
4%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
GFN
20 - 0
GRD
88%
9%
4%
|
33 | 7 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
AVC
1 - 1
GFN
19%
20%
61%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
OVT
0 - 6
GFN
5%
12%
83%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
GFN
1 - 1
OPZ
85%
11%
5%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FAT
0 - 3
UDL
15%
19%
67%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 0
UDL
76%
14%
10%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
UDL
3 - 0
SAN
55%
20%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
UDL
0 - 5
MRV
37%
23%
41%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -3 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
UDL
0 - 0
TBR
54%
21%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |