Gaborone United vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaborone United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
MOW
4 - 2
GAB
41%
24%
35%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
GAB
4 - 0
SUA
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
CEN
2 - 3
GAB
50%
24%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
GAB
3 - 0
CHA
77%
15%
9%
|
41 | 13 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 3
GAB
40%
22%
38%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
0 - 1
SES
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
VTM
50%
23%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 1
TOW
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
TAF
2 - 1
BOT
53%
26%
22%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 1
SUA
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |