GA Sampaio vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
44.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+83%
-81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GA Sampaio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
GAS
0 - 7
SAO
37%
25%
39%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
RIO
1 - 3
GAS
19%
22%
59%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ARO
4 - 0
GAS
72%
17%
12%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 3
PRO
18%
22%
60%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
PRO
1 - 0
SAO
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
PRO
1 - 2
ARO
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
HOL
3 - 1
PRO
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
CRI
2 - 0
PRO
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |