G.D.R. Gafetense vs Vilafranquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
16.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
G.D.R. Gafetense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 0
GDR
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GDR
1 - 0
MAF
24%
27%
49%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LUS
3 - 0
GDR
44%
22%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
GDR
0 - 2
SPB
2%
12%
86%
|
40 | 88 | 48 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GDR
1 - 1
SOU
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 0
ANG
22%
21%
58%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 1
VIL
73%
17%
10%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
PRA
13%
18%
70%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 1
VIL
74%
16%
10%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 4
SCP
4%
11%
85%
|
29 | 86 | 57 | 0 |