G.D.R. Gafetense vs Sousense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
G.D.R. Gafetense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GDR
2 - 1
VIA
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sousense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
FEI
2 - 1
SOU
80%
14%
6%
|
35 | 62 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 0
SOU
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 1
SOU
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SOU
2 - 1
MOU
33%
26%
41%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 3
BOA
24%
26%
50%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |