G.D.R. Gafetense vs Lusitânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
G.D.R. Gafetense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
GDR
3 - 1
GDA
80%
13%
8%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ALC
4 - 1
GDR
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GDR
2 - 1
CAL
24%
25%
51%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GDR
2 - 4
PRA
16%
19%
65%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ANG
1 - 1
GDR
50%
22%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ANG
1 - 3
LUS
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 0
VIL
44%
22%
34%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 0
LUS
74%
18%
8%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 3
MAF
16%
25%
60%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 0
LUS
68%
21%
11%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |