G.D.R. Gafetense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
51.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
G.D.R. Gafetense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GDR
2 - 4
PRA
16%
19%
65%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ANG
1 - 1
GDR
50%
22%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GDR
1 - 0
VIL
65%
18%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 0
GDR
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GDR
1 - 0
MAF
24%
27%
49%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
EST
6%
16%
78%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
ANG
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 0
LUS
68%
21%
11%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAL
20%
24%
57%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SRO
0 - 3
CAL
12%
18%
70%
|
50 | 12 | 38 | 0 |