G.D.R. Gafetense vs Alcanenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
G.D.R. Gafetense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAL
3 - 1
GDR
63%
22%
15%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
PRA
1 - 0
GDR
80%
14%
7%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GDR
2 - 1
ANG
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
GDR
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GDR
0 - 1
TOR
21%
25%
54%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 0
ANG
75%
17%
9%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 1
ALC
20%
24%
57%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
TOR
38%
28%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MAF
2 - 1
ALC
57%
24%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ALC
4 - 2
LUS
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |