Fylde vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
39.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FYL
1 - 0
PET
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
HER
2 - 1
FYL
26%
25%
49%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LEA
2 - 1
FYL
16%
23%
61%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
FYL
2 - 0
KID
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KID
2 - 2
FYL
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DON
1 - 0
GIL
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
LEY
2 - 0
GIL
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GIL
1 - 1
BAR
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GIL
1 - 1
STE
23%
29%
48%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
GIL
1 - 1
COL
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |