Fylde vs Garforth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
ROU
2 - 1
FYL
15%
20%
65%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
FYL
1 - 2
LAN
39%
25%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
HIN
7 - 3
FYL
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
FYL
1 - 1
HIN
37%
24%
38%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
FYL
5 - 2
COL
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Garforth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
GAR
2 - 4
COL
17%
21%
63%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
GAR
2 - 1
ROU
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
CUR
6 - 2
GAR
77%
16%
8%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
GAR
1 - 3
SKE
17%
21%
62%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
WAK
1 - 1
GAR
69%
19%
12%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |