Fylde vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
FYL
1 - 0
BUX
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
TAM
0 - 3
FYL
19%
22%
59%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FYL
1 - 0
NOR
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
FYL
2 - 1
BRA
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 2
FYL
25%
24%
51%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
TOW
0 - 0
GAI
53%
23%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
GAI
1 - 2
WOR
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
GAI
2 - 1
STA
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
OXF
2 - 0
GAI
43%
25%
33%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
GAI
1 - 1
TAM
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |