FVC vs SC Erica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
FVC
2 - 3
BER
58%
22%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
HOO
2 - 1
FVC
44%
24%
32%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
FVC
1 - 1
ACH
71%
18%
12%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
FVC
2 - 1
GRC
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
VVA
1 - 4
FVC
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
SC Erica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
SCE
2 - 0
VVA
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
BER
4 - 2
SCE
27%
25%
48%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
SCE
2 - 1
SVB
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
SCE
0 - 1
NIE
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ACH
0 - 2
SCE
25%
24%
51%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |