FVC vs Bergum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
26.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
WOL
5 - 1
FVC
18%
18%
64%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
FVC
1 - 1
LAC
69%
16%
16%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ACH
3 - 1
FVC
66%
18%
16%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
FVC
4 - 0
LSC
89%
7%
4%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
NIE
1 - 1
FVC
61%
19%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bergum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BER
1 - 1
SCE
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GRC
4 - 6
BER
42%
22%
36%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
BER
1 - 3
SVB
40%
23%
38%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
HOO
4 - 1
BER
67%
18%
16%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LAC
2 - 2
BER
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |