FVC vs Bergum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
6.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-78%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FVC
2 - 0
VVE
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SCE
0 - 2
FVC
42%
24%
35%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FVC
1 - 0
WOL
64%
18%
18%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ONB
1 - 2
FVC
11%
17%
72%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FVC
2 - 0
ANN
88%
8%
4%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Bergum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BER
0 - 2
LAC
46%
23%
31%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BER
3 - 0
STE
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
VVE
1 - 1
BER
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BER
1 - 3
ACH
35%
24%
42%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SCE
4 - 0
BER
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |