FVC vs Bergum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-81%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ACH
1 - 2
FVC
54%
21%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FVC
5 - 2
WOL
51%
22%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
STE
0 - 3
FVC
42%
23%
35%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FVC
0 - 3
JOU
58%
21%
22%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FVC
4 - 0
GRO
58%
21%
22%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bergum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
BER
4 - 0
GRO
54%
22%
24%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
DAL
0 - 1
BER
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
BER
0 - 7
VVE
30%
24%
47%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
BER
3 - 4
VEL
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
GVA
1 - 2
BER
55%
22%
23%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |