FVC vs Achilles 1894 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
19.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-81%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
WOL
3 - 4
FVC
37%
23%
39%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
GRO
0 - 3
FVC
31%
23%
46%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
FVC
2 - 1
DAL
73%
15%
12%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
FVC
1 - 3
VEL
78%
14%
9%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
GVA
1 - 1
FVC
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Achilles 1894
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ACH
1 - 0
GRO
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SCE
1 - 1
ACH
57%
22%
22%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ACH
3 - 1
NIE
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
BER
1 - 0
ACH
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ACH
1 - 2
JOU
61%
19%
19%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |