Lauda vs Crailsheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
55.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lauda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
WAL
2 - 0
FVL
80%
15%
6%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
FRE
3 - 1
FVL
53%
26%
21%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -3 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
FRE
3 - 0
FVL
46%
28%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -4 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
LUD
2 - 0
FVL
50%
25%
24%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
FVL
4 - 1
CRA
22%
25%
53%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +4 |
Matches
Crailsheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
CRA
3 - 0
BON
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
CRA
1 - 0
VFR
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2004 |
AJL
1 - 5
CRA
25%
24%
52%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
CRA
1 - 0
SVS
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2004 |
FRE
1 - 1
CRA
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |