Eppelborn vs Arminia Ludwigshafen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
35.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
15º
14º
44
6º
17º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
88 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
78 | 78 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 71 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eppelborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
IDA
1 - 2
EPP
33%
22%
46%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AUE
2 - 1
EPP
45%
21%
34%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
EPP
1 - 8
GON
12%
18%
70%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
EIS
3 - 2
EPP
38%
21%
41%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
EPP
2 - 1
KOB
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
Arminia Ludwigshafen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ARL
1 - 3
GON
12%
17%
71%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
EIS
2 - 0
ARL
39%
21%
40%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ARL
0 - 1
KOB
34%
25%
42%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 1
ARL
39%
21%
40%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ARL
2 - 0
MOR
52%
21%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |