Bad Vilbel vs Bernbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
WAL
2 - 1
FVB
65%
21%
14%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
FVB
0 - 3
VIK
39%
25%
36%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
FVB
2 - 0
SWM
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
FVB
1 - 1
WOR
47%
26%
28%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
BUC
3 - 1
FVB
61%
22%
18%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
SVB
2 - 0
BUC
39%
27%
34%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
WOR
3 - 2
SVB
49%
27%
25%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
SVB
1 - 1
FRA
34%
24%
42%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
BAU
1 - 3
SVB
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2006 |
FER
3 - 0
SVB
55%
23%
22%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |