Ferreiras vs Penedo Gordo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
42.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferreiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
AMO
1 - 0
FER
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
FER
2 - 2
LOU
16%
21%
63%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
LOU
1 - 0
FER
72%
18%
10%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
AMO
3 - 0
FER
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
FER
2 - 3
PIN
16%
21%
63%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Penedo Gordo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
PGO
0 - 1
FAB
43%
21%
36%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
PGO
2 - 0
PMI
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 1
PGO
15%
19%
66%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
PGO
3 - 1
DBE
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
PGO
4 - 0
BER
87%
9%
4%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | 0 |