Ferreiras vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
35.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferreiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ANG
2 - 0
FER
55%
20%
25%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
REA
0 - 0
FER
84%
12%
5%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | +3 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
FER
2 - 2
RED
91%
7%
2%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
1DE
1 - 1
FER
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
FER
1 - 0
CAS
12%
21%
67%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | +4 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MOU
0 - 0
ANG
45%
25%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
VAS
3 - 2
MOU
22%
21%
57%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MOU
0 - 1
ORI
20%
25%
56%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
2 - 0
MOU
39%
23%
38%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MOU
0 - 0
MAR
4%
12%
84%
|
40 | 76 | 36 | +1 |