Ferreiras vs Aljustrelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferreiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 1
FER
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FER
1 - 2
ANG
35%
26%
40%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
FER
0 - 0
QUA
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 0
FER
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
FER
2 - 0
PRA
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ANG
1 - 1
ALJ
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ALJ
1 - 3
MOU
36%
27%
37%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
ALJ
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ALJ
3 - 3
LUS
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
QUA
3 - 1
ALJ
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |