Ferreiras vs Aljustrelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferreiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
OPE
3 - 0
FER
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
FER
0 - 2
LUS
46%
25%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
QUA
0 - 0
FER
33%
24%
44%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
ANG
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
FER
36%
23%
41%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ALJ
3 - 1
PRA
26%
22%
52%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 1
ALJ
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
MOU
0 - 3
ALJ
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +3 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ALJ
0 - 2
OPE
17%
23%
61%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
LUS
1 - 1
ALJ
67%
18%
14%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |