Barquisimeto vs ULA Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barquisimeto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
FRO
1 - 1
FLD
15%
26%
59%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
FLD
1 - 0
DRZ
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
URE
1 - 2
FLD
21%
28%
51%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
FLD
1 - 0
ATL
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
TIT
2 - 1
FLD
26%
28%
46%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
ULA Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
ULA
4 - 0
LLA
20%
23%
58%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
ZUL
0 - 0
ULA
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
ULA
0 - 0
YAR
24%
23%
52%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ULA
0 - 1
FRO
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
DRZ
1 - 0
ULA
68%
20%
13%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |