Barquisimeto vs Real Frontera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
10º
16º
11º
34
9º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barquisimeto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
URE
1 - 1
FLD
64%
22%
14%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
YAR
1 - 1
FLD
57%
25%
18%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
FLD
3 - 1
ARA
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
TRU
1 - 1
FLD
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
FLD
2 - 3
POR
9%
16%
75%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Real Frontera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
FRO
1 - 5
YAR
26%
27%
48%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 1
FRO
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
FRO
0 - 2
TRU
41%
28%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
FRO
1 - 0
ATL
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
TAC
5 - 1
FRO
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |