Barquisimeto vs Héroes de Falcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
45%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
11º
16º
16º
21
2º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
84.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 13 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
2 | 2 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barquisimeto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FLD
2 - 4
ATL
36%
25%
40%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TIT
0 - 0
FLD
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FLD
1 - 3
TIT
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 1
FLD
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
HFF
4 - 1
FLD
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Héroes de Falcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
HFF
0 - 3
URE
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
HFF
4 - 1
FRO
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FRO
1 - 1
HFF
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
URE
2 - 1
HFF
53%
25%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
HFF
4 - 1
FLD
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |