4ª Catalana Promotion Play-offs Semi-finals
Global 3-5
Fundacio Privada Assoc. Esp vs Incresa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
32%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fundacio Privada Assoc. Esp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
FPA
6 - 2
RAY
78%
13%
9%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
CCA
2 - 3
FPA
32%
20%
48%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FPA
2 - 1
INC
46%
20%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
PAB
0 - 11
FPA
12%
15%
73%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FPA
6 - 1
CAN
87%
9%
5%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Incresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
ESP
0 - 8
INC
13%
15%
72%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
INC
1 - 0
CAS
36%
21%
43%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FPA
2 - 1
INC
46%
20%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
INC
6 - 2
AVI
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
CAS
3 - 0
INC
75%
14%
11%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |