Championship - Play Offs Ascenso Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Fulham vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
SHW
1 - 2
FUL
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
FUL
1 - 1
BRE
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
HUR
1 - 4
FUL
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
FUL
3 - 1
ASV
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 3
FUL
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
BUR
2 - 4
REA
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
REA
1 - 0
WIG
59%
24%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
NTT
3 - 2
REA
30%
25%
44%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
REA
2 - 1
ROT
73%
19%
9%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ASV
1 - 3
REA
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |