Fulham vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
58.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 1
FUL
56%
25%
19%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
WOL
2 - 1
FUL
35%
28%
37%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
CSK
1 - 1
FUL
41%
27%
32%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
FUL
2 - 1
EVE
40%
28%
32%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ASV
2 - 0
FUL
52%
26%
22%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
ARS
2 - 0
WBA
78%
15%
7%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ARS
4 - 0
WIG
77%
16%
7%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
SDL
2 - 3
ARS
20%
24%
57%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MAC
4 - 2
ARS
21%
24%
55%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
MUD
2 - 1
ARS
54%
23%
23%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |