Fulham vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
63.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
HUL
2 - 1
FUL
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
OPA
0 - 1
FUL
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
FUL
2 - 0
BIR
50%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
MAC
2 - 3
FUL
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
FUL
0 - 2
LIV
21%
27%
52%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 0
WBA
76%
16%
8%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
TWE
0 - 2
ARS
17%
24%
60%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 0
RMA
51%
25%
25%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
ARS
0 - 1
JUV
63%
21%
16%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
SUN
0 - 1
ARS
13%
21%
67%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |