Fulham vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
59.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
WHU
2 - 1
FUL
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
FUL
2 - 2
BRO
79%
14%
7%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
FUL
1 - 2
CHL
17%
26%
58%
|
82 | 95 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
BIR
1 - 1
FUL
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
TOT
5 - 1
FUL
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 1
BIR
82%
13%
5%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 1
TOT
72%
18%
10%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
BUR
0 - 2
ARS
12%
23%
65%
|
94 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
ARS
2 - 0
WHU
79%
14%
6%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
EVE
1 - 4
ARS
28%
27%
45%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |