CD Fuerte San Francisco vs Cacahuatique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
8º
7º
27
3º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Fuerte San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
MUN
1 - 2
FUE
64%
22%
14%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
FUE
0 - 2
ONC
24%
26%
50%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
FUE
0 - 1
MET
26%
28%
46%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
ALI
2 - 0
FUE
64%
22%
14%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
FUE
1 - 1
AGU
29%
29%
41%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Cacahuatique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
CDC
0 - 4
ALI
24%
28%
48%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
AGU
4 - 2
CDC
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
FIR
1 - 1
CDC
63%
23%
15%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 0
FAS
25%
28%
48%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
CDC
0 - 2
CDD
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |