Fuentes vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuentes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
FUE
0 - 4
CFB
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CEL
5 - 2
FUE
44%
24%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
FUE
0 - 1
CFV
46%
24%
31%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CFI
3 - 0
FUE
59%
21%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
CDC
0 - 0
FUE
14%
20%
66%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CDS
3 - 0
UDM
19%
22%
60%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
UDM
0 - 1
CDU
63%
20%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CDT
3 - 0
UDM
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
UDM
3 - 1
UDC
26%
24%
50%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CDC
0 - 3
UDM
30%
24%
47%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |