Fuentes vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuentes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
FUE
39%
25%
36%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
FUE
0 - 3
CDC
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 2
FUE
9%
16%
75%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
FUE
0 - 0
CEL
66%
20%
14%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
BUJ
0 - 2
FUE
13%
18%
70%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
UDM
4 - 2
CDM
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
UDM
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
UDM
60%
23%
18%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
UDM
0 - 4
CDC
38%
24%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 1
UDM
19%
23%
57%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |