Fuentes vs Jacetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
48.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuentes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
ZUE
1 - 2
FUE
63%
21%
16%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
FUE
1 - 1
TER
31%
26%
43%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
CDE
3 - 1
FUE
57%
24%
18%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
FUE
2 - 2
UFC
16%
25%
60%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
FRA
3 - 1
FUE
81%
14%
5%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Jacetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
CFJ
0 - 1
UNI
34%
26%
40%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
UFC
0 - 0
CFJ
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
CFJ
1 - 3
UFC
42%
27%
32%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
SAB
1 - 1
CFJ
45%
26%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
CFJ
3 - 1
ATL
45%
26%
29%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |