Fuentes vs Calamocha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuentes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
FUE
65%
19%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
FUE
2 - 1
UDC
44%
26%
30%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
FUE
3 - 2
CDC
34%
24%
42%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
RSD
6 - 0
FUE
58%
21%
21%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
FUE
0 - 1
UDS
45%
25%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Calamocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 1
CDA
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CDU
3 - 0
CAL
33%
24%
43%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CEL
1 - 1
CAL
60%
21%
19%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 1
CAS
32%
25%
43%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
UDC
3 - 1
CAL
37%
25%
38%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |