Fuentes vs Calamocha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuentes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
CFB
2 - 1
FUE
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FUE
3 - 1
CUA
15%
21%
64%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FUE
3 - 2
CDU
41%
25%
34%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ACF
1 - 0
FUE
74%
15%
10%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
FUE
0 - 0
LAA
28%
25%
46%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Calamocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 0
CDU
50%
23%
27%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ACF
3 - 0
CAL
67%
18%
16%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 1
LAA
35%
25%
41%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
CAL
26%
23%
51%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 1
TER
62%
20%
18%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |