Fuentes vs Monzalbarba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuentes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
UFC
2 - 5
FUE
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
FUE
1 - 1
ALC
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
ICF
3 - 4
FUE
34%
26%
40%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
FUE
1 - 0
HUE
34%
24%
42%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1999 |
CDE
0 - 2
FUE
44%
25%
32%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Monzalbarba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
MON
1 - 2
SAR
43%
27%
30%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
VIL
1 - 1
MON
65%
20%
15%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
MON
0 - 0
TER
38%
26%
36%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
SAN
2 - 0
MON
36%
25%
39%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1999 |
MON
1 - 2
PER
57%
22%
21%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |