Fuentes vs Paracuellos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
9.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuentes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
INT
3 - 2
FUE
42%
22%
36%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
FUE
2 - 1
CER
78%
13%
9%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
AZU
0 - 1
FUE
20%
20%
60%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
FUE
4 - 1
TER
56%
20%
25%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
FUE
4 - 1
CFL
72%
15%
13%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Paracuellos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 3
ROM
47%
21%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CFL
4 - 1
PAR
28%
21%
51%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CDC
2 - 2
PAR
35%
21%
44%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ANI
3 - 1
PAR
36%
22%
42%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ROM
1 - 4
PAR
26%
21%
53%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |